The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times
'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph
'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
- ISBN: 978-0-141-03459-1
- Автор: Nassim Taleb
- Видавництво: Penguin
- Кількість сторінок: 394
- Рік видання: 2008
- Обкладинка: Paperback
- Модель: 9780141034591
- Вага: 355
гр
Розміри:
12.7 см х 3 см х 19.7 см - Бонусні бали: 960
- Наявність: Є в наявності
Примітки: доставка протягом 3-х тижнів
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320.00 грн (UAH)
- Ціна у бонусних балах: 32000